Weeks after President Donald Trump declared Liberation Day and unleashed a fresh wave of tariffs aimed at reshaping global trade dynamics, the results are coming into sharper focus—and they’ve blindsided the doomsayers. While critics from Wall Street to the Washington Post warned of economic calamity, voters and markets have told a different story. The much-hyped economic “collapse” never arrived. In fact, the indicators are moving in the opposite direction.
Some intern weeped while tweeting this out https://t.co/PwPEkAmGIq
— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) May 13, 2025
The most glaring contradiction to the panic narrative came from the U.S. Labor Department. April’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a 2.3% annual increase—the slowest pace since early 2021. Even core inflation, excluding energy and food, held steady at 2.8%. Despite predictions that tariffs would ripple through the economy like a shockwave, raising costs on everyday essentials, the numbers tell a different story: apparel and new car prices actually declined—two sectors supposedly most vulnerable to Trump’s trade measures.
RECESSION CANCELLED?
The odds of a US recession this year have fallen to just 39%.
— Polymarket (@Polymarket) May 13, 2025
So what happened to the dire warnings from the experts? Where’s the tariff-triggered inflation spike? Not here. Not yet.
After a modest April correction that saw left-wing pundits clamor for “worst month since 1932” comparisons, the market has rebounded decisively. With nine consecutive days of gains—a rare feat achieved only 31 times in the last century—the rebound is more than just a bounce. It’s a referendum on confidence.
Investors aren’t fleeing. They’re buying.
JPMorgan, which weeks ago warned of a looming recession, has now walked it back. In a sharp reversal, their “recession watch” has been quietly canceled, and other analysts are following suit. This isn’t a reluctant shrug of economic neutrality—it’s a full pivot from the doom forecast.
JP Morgan: The Recession Has Been Called Offhttps://t.co/syaLNfPjer
— HotAir.com (@hotairblog) May 13, 2025
Fed Governor Adriana Kugler still warns that Trump’s tariffs remain “pretty high” and that they could slow growth. But that’s a theory, not a reality—at least for now. The intended economic shock hasn’t materialized. Instead, the data suggests a resetting of trade leverage without a major spike in consumer costs.
The reality: Trump’s tariffs—targeting Chinese imports, steel, aluminum, and select North American goods—haven’t gouged American families at the checkout counter. The policy is doing what it set out to do: bring adversaries to the negotiating table while insulating the domestic market from overexposure.
Let’s recap:
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Inflation didn’t explode—it slowed.
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The market didn’t crash—it rallied.
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Recession didn’t arrive—the forecast was rescinded.
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Consumer goods didn’t spike—some got cheaper.
Each major anti-Trump economic narrative has collapsed under the weight of real-world results. Pundits and political opponents, who predicted disaster, now find themselves scrambling to explain why the sky didn’t fall.







