Harry Enten is the one guy at CNN who seems to be willing to go out on a limb (for that network) to drop data that may not be good for Joe Biden and the Democrats.
“Inflation, yes, it’s down compared to a year ago — but compared to two years ago, it’s still way up,” Enten said, explaining people were likely taking the “longer range view.” In other words, the American people know Joe Biden was responsible for driving it up, and it’s still worse than when he came in, so we’re not giving him credit for it going down.
“If you look at Joe Biden’s approval on the economy right now, IT STINKS!” Enten declared, explaining it was well below 40 percent. Biden has a 37 percent approval rating on the economy and 63 percent disapproval.
Then Enten amplified some of those problems in an analysis he did over the weekend where he noted that Trump was in a good position to win.
“Trump is not only in a historically strong position for a nonincumbent to win the Republican nomination, but he is in a better position to win the general election than at any point during the 2020 cycle and almost at any point during the 2016 cycle,” Enten said.
He said “one giant warning sign for Democrats” was a late June Quinnipiac University poll from Pennsylvania. According to Enten, the state barely voted for Trump in 2016 and for Biden in 2020,” but now he’s up by one point there, which Enten called a “remarkable achievement.”
He said that in terms of the primary, all the historical numbers were in Trump’s favor.
“No one in Trump’s current polling position in the modern era has lost an open presidential primary that didn’t feature an incumbent. He’s pulling in more than 50% of support in the national primary polls, i.e., more than all his competitors combined,” Enten explained [….]
“A look back at past polls does show candidates coming back from deficits greater than 10 points to win the nomination, but none greater than 30 points at this point. In fact, the biggest comebacks when you average all the polls in the second half of the year before the election top out at about 20 points (Democrats George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Barack Obama in 2008),” Enten adds, bringing in the numbers to back up his argument.
"Biden's overall approval rating, and his approval rating on the economy, really hasn't gotten much better," says CNN's Harry Enten.
"Inflation, yes, it's down compared to a year ago — but compared to two years ago, it's still WAY UP." pic.twitter.com/EnZ3qkV2vw
— RNC Research (@RNCResearch) August 3, 2023